RESEARCH Historic Chilean earthquakes

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RESEARCH Historic Chilean earthquakes

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:13 pm

In the Wikipedia article on "List of earthquakes in Chile," I found a list of 124 historic earthquakes from 6.3 magnitude to 9.5. I've eliminated the nine quakes below 7.0, leaving 113 events. [ADDED 9/16/15: I've added an 8.3 quake, raised to 114.] Here are the 113 events with location (where specified), local date, local time, magnitude, longitude and latitude of epicenter, and death toll (where given):

No. Location Local date Local time Magnitude Epicenter Death toll
1 Concepción February 8, 1570 9:00 8.3 36.800°S 73.000°W
2 March 17, 1575 10:00 7.3 33.400°S 70.600°W
3 Valdivia December 16, 1575 14:30 8.5 39.800°S 73.200°W
4 Offshore Arica November 24, 1604 12:30 8.5 18.500°S 70.400°W
5 Offshore Arica September 16, 1615 23:30 8.8 18.500°S 70.350°W
6 Santiago May 13, 1647 22:30 8.5 35.000°S 72.000°W
7 March 15, 1657 19:30 8 36.830°S 73.030°W
8 March 10, 1681 7.3 18.500°S 70.350°W
9 July 12, 1687 2:00 7.3 32.750°S 70.730°W
10 Valparaíso July 8, 1730 4:45 8.7 33.050°S 71.630°W 5
11 December 24, 1737 7.7 39.800°S 73.200°W
12 Concepción May 25, 1751 1:00 8.5 36.830°S 73.030°W
13 March 30, 1796 6:45 7.7 27.350°S 70.350°W
14 April 11, 1819 10:00 8.3 27.350°S 70.350°W
15 Valparaíso November 19, 1822 22:30 8.5 33.050°S 71.630°W 200
16 September 26, 1829 14:00 7 33.050°S 71.630°W
17 October 8, 1831 6:00 7.8 18.500°S 71.000°W
18 September 18, 1833 5:45 7.7 18.500°S 70.400°W
19 Concepción February 20, 1835 11:30 8.5/8.2 36.830°S 73.030°W 500
20 November 7, 1837 8:00 8 39.800°S 73.200°W
21 October 8, 1847 11:30 7.3 31.610°S 71.180°W
22 December 17, 1849 6:00 7.5 29.950°S 71.370°W
23 December 6, 1850 6:52 7.3 33.810°S 70.220°W
24 April 2, 1851 6:48 7.1 33.320°S 71.420°W
25 October 5, 1859 8:00 7.6 27.350°S 70.350°W
26 Arica August 13, 1868 16:45 9.0/8.5 18.500°S 70.350°W 25,000
27 August 24, 1869 13:30 7.5 19.600°S 70.230°W
28 October 5, 1871 5:00 7.3 20.200°S 70.170°W
29 Iquique May 9, 1877 21:16 8.5/8.3 19.600°S 70.230°W 34
30 January 23, 1878 8:00 7.9 20.000°S 70.300°W
31 February 2, 1879 6:30 7.3 53.000°S 70.670°W
32 August 15, 1880 8:48 7.7 31.620°S 71.180°W
33 Valparaíso 16-Aug-06 19:48 8.2 33.000°S 72.000°W 3,882
34 8-Jun-09 1:00 7.6 26.500°S 70.500°W
35 4-Oct-10 19:00 7.3 22.000°S 69.000°W
36 15-Sep-11 8:10 7.3 20.000°S 72.000°W
37 29-Jan-14 23:30 8.2 35.000°S 73.000°W
38 14-Feb-17 20:48 7 30.000°S 73.000°W
39 20-May-18 12:57 7.9 28.500°S 71.500°W
40 4-Dec-18 7:47 8.2 26.000°S 71.000°W
41 1-Mar-19 23:37 7.2 41.000°S 73.500°W
42 2-Mar-19 7:45 7.3 41.000°S 73.500°W
43 10-Dec-20 0:25 7.4 39.000°S 73.000°W
44 7-Nov-22 19:00 7 28.000°S 72.000°W
45 Vallenar 10-Nov-22 23:53 8.5 28.500°S 70.000°W
46 4-May-23 17:47 7 28.750°S 71.750°W
47 15-May-25 7:18 7.1 26.000°S 71.500°W
48 28-Apr-26 7:13 7 24.000°S 69.000°W
49 21-Nov-27 19:17 7.1 44.500°S 73.000°W
50 20-Nov-28 16:35 7.1 22.500°S 70.500°W
51 Talca 1-Dec-28 0:06 8.3/7.6 35.000°S 72.000°W 225
52 19-Oct-29 16:18 7.5 23.000°S 69.000°W
53 18-Mar-31 4:02 7.1 32.500°S 72.000°W
54 23-Feb-33 4:09 7.6 20.000°S 71.000°W
55 1-Mar-36 17:45 7.1 40.000°S 72.500°W
56 13-Jul-36 7:12 7.3 24.500°S 70.000°W
57 Chillán 24-Jan-39 23:32 8.3/7.8 36.200°S 72.200°W 28,000
58 18-Apr-39 2:22 7.4 27.000°S 70.500°W
59 11-Oct-40 14:41 7 41.500°S 74.500°W
60 8-Jul-42 1:55 7 24.000°S 70.000°W
61 14-Mar-43 14:37 7.2 20.000°S 69.500°W
62 Ovalle 6-Apr-43 12:07 8.2 30.750°S 72.000°W 25
63 1-Dec-43 6:34 7 21.000°S 69.000°W
64 13-Jul-45 7:17 7.1 33.250°S 70.500°W
65 2-Aug-46 15:19 7.9 26.500°S 70.500°W
66 19-Apr-49 23:29 7.3 38.000°S 73.500°W
67 25-Apr-49 9:54 7.3 19.750°S 69.000°W
68 29-May-49 21:32 7 22.000°S 69.000°W
69 17-Dec-49 11:07 7.8 54.000°S 71.000°W
70 Tierra del Fuego 17-Dec-49 2:53 7.8 54.000°S 71.000°W/54°0′0″S 68°46′11″W
71 29-Jan-50 20:56 7 53.500°S 71.500°W
72 9-Dec-50 17:38 8.3 23.500°S 67.500°W
73 6-May-53 13:16 7.6 36.500°S 72.600°W
74 6-Dec-53 22:05 7.4 22.100°S 68.700°W
75 8-Feb-54 7.7 29.000°S 70.500°W
76 19-Apr-55 16:24 7.1 30.000°S 72.000°W
77 8-Jan-56 16:54 7.1 19.000°S 70.000°W
78 17-Dec-56 22:31 7 25.500°S 68.500°W
79 29-Jul-57 13:15 7 23.500°S 71.500°W
80 13-Jun-59 20:12 7.5 20.420°S 69.000°W
81 Concepción 21-May-60 6:02 7.9 37.500°S 73.500°W 125
82 22-May-60 6:32 7.3 37.500°S 73.000°W
83 Valdivia 22-May-60 15:11 9.5 39.500°S 74.500°W 1,655
84 19-Jun-60 22:01 7.3 38.000°S 73.500°W
85 1-Nov-60 4:45 7.4 38.500°S 75.100°W
86 13-Jul-61 17:19 7 41.700°S 75.200°W
87 14-Feb-62 2:36 7.3 37.800°S 72.500°W
88 3-Aug-62 4:56 7.1 23.300°S 68.100°W
89 Taltal 23-Feb-65 18:11 7 25.670°S 70.630°W 1
90 La Ligua 28-Mar-65 12:33 7.4 32.418°S 71.100°W 400
91 28-Dec-66 4:18 7.8 25.510°S 70.740°W
92 13-Mar-67 12:06 7.3 40.120°S 74.680°W
93 21-Dec-67 22:25 7.5 21.800°S 70.000°W
94 17-Jun-71 17:00 7 25.402°S 69.058°W
95 Illapel 8-Jul-71 23:03 7.5 32.511°S 71.207°W 90
96 18-Aug-74 6:44 7.1 38.453°S 73.431°W
97 10-May-75 10:27 7.7 38.183°S 73.232°W
98 29-Nov-76 21:40 7.3 20.520°S 68.919°W
99 3-Aug-79 14:11 7 26.518°S 70.664°W
100 16-Oct-81 0:25 7.5 33.134°S 73.074°W
101 4-Oct-83 14:52 7.3 26.535°S 70.563°W
102 Algarrobo 3-Mar-85 19:46 8.0/7.8 33.240°S 71.850°W 177
103 Rapel Lake 8-Apr-85 21:56 7.5 34.131°S 71.618°W 1
104 Iquique 5-Mar-87 6:17 7.3 24.388°S 70.161°W
105 8-Aug-87 11:48 7.1 19.000°S 70.000°W
106 Antofagasta 30-Jul-95 1:11 8 23.360°S 70.310°W 3
107 Punitaqui 15-Oct-97 1:03 7.1 30.773°S 71.315°W 8
108 Near coast of northern Chile 30-Jan-98 12:16 (UTC) 7.1 23.910°S 70.200°W 1
109 Tarapacá 13-Jun-05 18:44 7.8 19.895°S 69.125°W/19.934°S 69.028°W 11
110 Tocopilla 14-Nov-07 12:40 7.7 22.314°S 70.078°W/22.204°S 69.869°W 2
111 Araucanía 2-Jan-11 17:20 7.1 38.354°S 73.275°W/38°21′43″S75°1′55″W
112 Talca 25-Mar-12 19:37 7.1 35.183°S 71.792°W /35°12′0″S 72°13′1″W 1
113 IquiqueOffshore Tarapacá 1-Apr-14 20:46 8.2 19S38'31" 70W49'01"
114 near Illapei 16-Sep-15 22:54:32 UT 8.3 21S33'47 71W44'13

It's going to take a while to move through these. My immediate plan is, for each one, to list close planetary angularities in three variations of lunar ingresses: (A) The Caplunar. (B) The immediate lunar ingress of the week. (C) The most recent weekly lunar ingress that isn't dormant. In this case, "close" means within 3° of the main angles, and within 2° of minor ones (each measured in the appropriate reference circle). As an aside, I'll also list Moon conjunctions, oppositions, and squares within 3°.
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16th-19th + 21st Centuries

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:13 pm

Summary (37 events)
CAPLUNAR:
Moon 4, Sun 8, Mercury 4, Venus 3, Mars 2, Jupiter 5, Saturn 4, Uranus 2, Neptune 14, Pluto 3
Moon-Sun 1, Moon-Mercury 1, Moon-Venus, Moon-Mars 2, Moon-Jupiter 2, Moon-Saturn 3, Moon-Uranus 2, Moon-Neptune 2, Moon-Pluto 1

CHART OF THE WEEK:
Sun 5, Moon 2, Mercury 4, Venus 4, Mars 2, Jupiter 6, Saturn 6, Uranus 1, Neptune 3, Pluto 7
Moon-Sun 2, Moon-Mercury 3, Moon-Mars 3, Moon-Jupiter 1, Moon-Saturn 4, Moon-Uranus 3, Moon-Neptune 2, Moon-Pluto 1

MOST RECENT NON-DORMANT:
Moon 3, Sun 6, Mercury 6, Venus 5, Mars 4, Jupiter 8, Saturn 8, Uranus 1, Neptune 5, Pluto 8
Moon-Sun 1, Moon-Mercury 3, Moon-Mars 3, Moon-Jupiter 1, Moon-Saturn 4, Moon-Uranus 3, Moon-Neptune 2, Moon-Pluto 1


1 Concepción February 8, 1570 9:00 8.3 36.800°S 73.000°W (Aqu/Pis)
-- A. Sun.
-- B. Sun.
-- C. Sun.
2 March 17, 1575 10:00 7.3 33.400°S 70.600°W (Pis/Tau)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Venus Saturn Pluto
-- C. Venus Saturn Pluto
3 Valdivia December 16, 1575 14:30 8.5 39.800°S 73.200°W (Sag/Gem)
-- A. Jupiter
-- B. Venus Neptune Pluto (Moon-Mercury)
-- C.Venus Neptune Pluto (Moon-Mercury)
4 Offshore Arica November 24, 1604 12:30 8.5 18.500°S 70.400°W (Sco/Sag)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Mars)
-- C. (Canlunar) Moon Mars
5 Offshore Arica September 16, 1615 23:30 8.8 18.500°S 70.350°W (Vir/Gem)
-- A. Mercury (Moon-Mars)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Mars) (NB Canlunar 2.5 hours later had Uranus & Neptune)
-- C. Mercury (Moon-Mars)
6 Santiago May 13, 1647 22:30 8.5 35.000°S 72.000°W (Tau/Vir)
-- A. Sun Mars
-- B. Mars Saturn
-- C. Mars Saturn
7 March 15, 1657 19:30 8 36.830°S 73.030°W (Pis/Pis)
-- A. Jupiter
-- B. Jupiter
-- C. Jupiter
8 March 10, 1681 7.3 18.500°S 70.350°W (Pis/Sco)
-- A. Moon Saturn Uranus
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Uranus)
-- C. (Arilunar) Mercury (Moon-Uranus)
9 July 12, 1687 2:00 7.3 32.750°S 70.730°W (Gem/Can)
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Pluto)
-- B. Jupiter (Moon-Sun, Moon-Mercury, Moon-Pluto)
-- C. Jupiter (Moon-Sun, Moon-Mercury, Moon-Pluto)
10 Valparaíso July 8, 1730 4:45 8.7 33.050°S 71.630°W 5 (Gem/Ari)
-- A. Sun Mars Pluto
-- B. Saturn Neptune (Moon-Mars)
-- C. Saturn Neptune (Moon-Mars)
11 December 24, 1737 7.7 39.800°S 73.200°W (Sag/Cap)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Liblunar) Jupiter Saturn
12 Concepción May 25, 1751 1:00 8.5 36.830°S 73.030°W (Tau/Tau)
-- A. Venus
-- B. Saturn
-- C. Saturn
13 March 30, 1796 6:45 7.7 27.350°S 70.350°W (Pis/Sag)
-- A. Neptune
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Arilunar) Venus
14 April 11, 1819 10:00 8.3 27.350°S 70.350°W (Pis/Lib)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. (Moon-Sun)
-- C. Jupiter
15 Valparaíso November 19, 1822 22:30 8.5 33.050°S 71.630°W 200 (Sco/Cap)
-- A. Sun Venus
-- B. Sun Venus
-- C. Sun Venus
16 September 26, 1829 14:00 7.0 33.050°S 71.630°W (Vir/Leo)
-- A. Uranus
-- B. Moon Mercury
-- C. Moon Mercury
17 October 8, 1831 6:00 7.8 18.500°S 71.000°W (Vir/Lib)
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Venus, Moon-Neptune)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Neptune)
-- C. (Canlunar) Sun Mars (Moon-Neptune)
18 September 18, 1833 5:45 7.7 18.500°S 70.400°W (Can/Sco)
-- A. Moon Pluto
-- B. Moon
-- C. Moon
19 Concepción February 20, 1835 11:30 8.5 36.830°S 73.030°W 500 (Aqu/Sco
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Saturn)
-- B. Mercury (Moon-Saturn)
-- C. Mercury (Moon-Saturn)
20 November 7, 1837 8:00 8 39.800°S 73.200°W (Lib/Aqu)
-- A. Moon Pluto
-- B. Pluto
-- C. Pluto
21 October 8, 1847 11:30 7.3 31.610°S 71.180°W (Vir/Vir)
-- A. Sun Mercury
-- B. Pluto
-- C. Pluto
22 December 17, 1849 6:00 7.5 29.950°S 71.370°W (Sag/Cap)
-- A. Mercury Jupiter (Moon-Uranus)
-- B. Mercury Jupiter (Moon-Uranus)
-- C. Mercury Jupiter (Moon-Uranus)
23 December 6, 1850 6:52 7.3 33.810°S 70.220°W (Sco/Sag)
-- A. Neptune
-- B. Jupiter Saturn
-- C. Jupiter Saturn
24 April 2, 1851 6:48 7.1 33.320°S 71.420°W (Pis/Pis)
-- A. Sun (Moon-Jupiter, Moon-Saturn)
-- B. Sun (Moon-Jupiter, Moon-Saturn)
-- C. Sun (Moon-Jupiter, Moon-Saturn)
25 October 5, 1859 8:00 7.6 27.350°S 70.350°W (Vir/Cap)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Canlunar) Pluto
26 Arica August 13, 1868 16:45 9.0 18.500°S 70.350°W 25,000 (Can/Tau)
-- A. Sun (Moon-Mercury)
-- B. Sun Saturn
-- C. Sun Saturn
27 August 24, 1869 13:30 7.5 19.600°S 70.230°W (Leo/Pis)
-- A. Mercury (Moon-Uranus)
-- B. Mercury (Moon-Uranus)
-- C. Mercury (Moon-Uranus)
28 October 5, 1871 5:00 7.3 20.200°S 70.170°W (Vir/Gem)
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Jupiter, Moon-Neptune)
-- B. Mars (Moon-Neptune)
-- C. Mars (Moon-Neptune)
29 Iquique May 9, 1877 21:16 8.5 19.600°S 70.230°W 34 (Ari/Pis)
-- A. Jupiter
-- B. Jupiter
-- C. Jupiter
30 January 23, 1878 8:00 7.9 20.000°S 70.300°W (Cap/Vir)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Liblunar) Neptune
31 February 2, 1879 6:30 7.3 53.000°S 70.670°W (Cap/Tau)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Jupiter
-- C. Jupiter
32 August 15, 1880 8:48 7.7 31.620°S 71.180°W (Can/Sco)
-- A. Sun Venus
-- B. Venus Uranus Pluto
-- C. Venus Uranus Pluto

[...]

109 Tarapacá 13-Jun-05 18:44 7.8 19.895°S 69.125°W 11 (Tau/Leo)
-- A. Neptune (Moon-Saturn)
-- B. Neptune (Moon-Saturn)
-- C. Neptune (Moon-Saturn)
110 Tocopilla 14-Nov-07 12:40 7.7 22.314°S 70.078°W 2 (Lib/Sag)
-- A. Saturn (Moon-Sun)
-- B. Pluto (Moon-Mercury)
-- C. Pluto (Moon-Mercury)
111 Araucanía 2-Jan-11 17:20 7.1 38.354°S 73.275°W (Sag/Sco)
-- A. Neptune
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Caplunar) Neptune
112 Talca 25-Mar-12 19:37 7.1 35.183°S 71.792°W 1 (Pis/Ari)
-- A. Moon Jupiter Saturn (Sa-MC 0°00')
-- B. Pluto (Moon-Saturn)
-- C. Pluto (Moon-Saturn)
113 IquiqueOffshore Tarapacá 1-Apr-14 20:46 8.2 19S38'31" 70W49'01" (Pis/Ari)
-- A. Saturn (Moon-Mars)
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Caplunar) Saturn (Moon-Mars)
114 16-Sep-2015 22:54:32 UTY 31S33'47" 71W44'13"
-- A. Dormant.
-- B. Sun.
-- C. Sun.
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20th Century, first half

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:13 pm

Summary (38 events)
CAPLUNAR:
Moon 8, Sun 9, Mercury 4, Venus 2, Mars 9, Jupiter 3, Saturn 4, Uranus 7, Neptune 6, Pluto 6
(Moon-Sun 2, Moon-Mercury 2, Moon-Mars 2, Moon-Jupiter 1, Moon-Saturn 2, Moon-Uranus 2, Moon-Neptune 2, Moon-Pluto 3)

CHART OF THE WEEK:
Moon 6, Sun 6, Mercury 2, Venus 4, Mars 2, Jupiter 3, Saturn 5, Uranus 5, Neptune 1, Pluto 1
(Moon-Sun 2, Moon-Mercury 2, Moon-Jupiter 2, Moon-Saturn 3, Moon-Uranus 2, Moon-Neptune 2, Moon-Pluto 2)

MOST RECENT NON-DORMANT:
Moon 6, Sun 9, Mercury 3, Venus 6, Mars 4, Jupiter 5, Saturn 7, Uranus 5, Neptune 3, Pluto 3
(Moon-Sun 2, Moon-Mercury 3, Moon-Venus 1, Moon-Mars 1, Moon-Jupiter 1, Moon-Saturn 3, Moon-Uranus 3, Moon-Neptune 2, Moon-Pluto 2)


33 Valparaíso 16-Aug-06 19:48 8.2 33.000°S 72.000°W 3,882 (Can/Gem)
-- A. Jupiter Pluto (Pl-As 0°01')
-- B. Saturn
-- C. Saturn
34 8-Jun-09 1:00 7.6 26.500°S 70.500°W (Tau/Cap)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Arilunar) Sun Mars (Moon-Uranus)
35 4-Oct-10 19:00 7.3 22.000°S 69.000°W (Vir/Lib)
-- A. Mars Pluto (Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Jupiter, Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
-- C. (Caplunar) Mars Pluto (Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
36 15-Sep-11 8:10 7.3 20.000°S 72.000°W (Leo/Tau)
-- A. Moon Uranus Neptune (Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
-- B. Uranus (Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
-- C. Uranus (Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
37 29-Jan-14 23:30 8.2 35.000°S 73.000°W (Cap/Aqu)
-- A. Saturn
-- B. Saturn
-- C. Saturn
38 14-Feb-17 20:48 7 30.000°S 73.000°W (Aqu/Sco)
-- A. Sun Neptune (Moon-Mercury)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Saturn)
-- C. (Canlunar) Pluto (Moon-Mercury, Moon-Venus, Moon-Saturn)
39 20-May-18 12:57 7.9 28.500°S 71.500°W (Gem/Vir)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Venus
40 4-Dec-18 7:47 8.2 26.000°S 71.000°W (Sco/Sco)
-- A. Mars
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Sun Venus Saturn
41 1-Mar-19 23:37 7.2 41.000°S 73.500°W (Aqu/Aqu)
-- A. Moon
-- B. Moon
-- C. Moon
42 2-Mar-19 7:45 7.3 41.000°S 73.500°W (Aqu/Aqu)
-- A. Moon
-- B. Moon
-- C. Moon
43 10-Dec-20 0:25 7.4 39.000°S 73.000°W (Sco/Sco)
-- A. Moon Mars Pluto (Moon-Mars)
-- B. Saturn
-- C. Saturn
44 7-Nov-22 19:00 7 28.000°S 72.000°W (Lib/Tau)
-- A. Venus Uranus
-- B. Venus Uranus (Moon-Mercury)
-- C. Venus Uranus (Moon-Mercury)
45 Vallenar 10-Nov-22 23:53 8.5 28.500°S 70.000°W (Lib/Can)
-- A. Uranus
-- B. Sun Neptune
-- C. Sun Neptune
46 4-May-23 17:47 7 28.750°S 71.750°W (Ari/Sag)
-- A. Sun Mercury Saturn Pluto
-- B. Venus
-- C. Venus
47 15-May-25 7:18 7.1 26.000°S 71.500°W (Tau/Aqu)
-- A. Moon Mercury (Moon-Mercury, Moon-Jupiter)
-- B. Moon Mercury (Moon-Mercury, Moon-Jupiter)
-- C. Moon Mercury (Moon-Mercury, Moon-Jupiter)
48 28-Apr-26 7:13 7 24.000°S 69.000°W (Ari/Lib)
-- A. Moon
-- B. Saturn
-- C. Saturn
49 21-Nov-27 19:17 7.1 44.500°S 73.000°W (Sco/Lib)
-- A. Sun Mars
-- B. Jupiter Uranus
-- C. Jupiter Uranus
50 20-Nov-28 16:35 7.1 22.500°S 70.500°W (Sco/Aqu)
-- A. Uranus
-- B. Uranus
-- C. Uranus
51 Talca 1-Dec-28 0:06 8.3 35.000°S 72.000°W 225 (Sco/Can)
-- A. Uranus
-- B. Moon
-- C. Moon
52 19-Oct-29 16:18 7.5 23.000°S 69.000°W (Lib/Ari)
-- A. Neptune
-- B. Moon Sun (Moon-Sun)
-- C. Moon Sun (Moon-Sun)
53 18-Mar-31 4:02 7.1 32.500°S 72.000°W (Pis/Aqu)
-- A. Sun Mercury (Moon-Saturn)
-- B. Sun Mercury (Moon-Saturn)
-- C. Sun Mercury (Moon-Saturn)
54 23-Feb-33 4:09 7.6 20.000°S 71.000°W (Aqu/Cap)
-- A. Jupiter (Moon-Pluto)
-- B. Jupiter (Moon-Pluto)
-- C. Jupiter (Moon-Pluto)
55 1-Mar-36 17:45 7.1 40.000°S 72.500°W (Aqu/Gem)
-- A. Mercury Uranus (Moon-Pluto)
-- B. Saturn
-- C. Saturn
56 13-Jul-36 7:12 7.3 24.500°S 70.000°W (Gem/Ari)
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Pluto)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Pluto)
-- C. Neptune (Moon-Pluto)
57 Chillán 24-Jan-39 23:32 8.3 36.200°S 72.200°W 28,000 (Cap/Pis)
-- A. Jupiter
-- B. Jupiter
-- C. Jupiter
58 18-Apr-39 2:22 7.4 27.000°S 70.500°W (Ari/Pis)
-- A. Sun, Mars (Moon-Sun, Moon-Saturn)
-- B. Sun, Mars (Moon-Sun, Moon-Saturn)
-- C. Sun, Mars (Moon-Sun, Moon-Saturn)
59 11-Oct-40 14:41 7 41.500°S 74.500°W (Vir/Aqu)
-- A. Sun
-- B. Sun
-- C. Sun
60 8-Jul-42 1:55 7 24.000°S 70.000°W (Gem/Ari)
-- A. Neptune
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Caplunar) Neptune
61 14-Mar-43 14:37 7.2 20.000°S 69.500°W (Aqu/Gem)
-- A. Sun (Moon-Mars)
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Caplunar) Sun (Moon-Mars)
62 Ovalle 6-Apr-43 12:07 8.2 30.750°S 72.000°W 25 (Pis/Ari)
-- A. Moon Pluto
-- B. Uranus
-- C. Uranus
63 1-Dec-43 6:34 7 21.000°S 69.000°W (Sco/Cap)
-- A. Pluto
-- B. Pluto
-- C. Pluto
64 13-Jul-45 7:17 7.1 33.250°S 70.500°W (Gem/Leo)
-- A. Sun Neptune
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Saturn
65 2-Aug-46 15:19 7.9 26.500°S 70.500°W (Can/Vir)
-- A. Mars Uranus (Moon-Sun)
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Mercury
66 19-Apr-49 23:29 7.3 38.000°S 73.500°W (Ari/Cap)
-- A. Mars
-- B. Mars
-- C. Mars
67 25-Apr-49 9:54 7.3 19.750°S 69.000°W (Ari/Pis)
-- A. Moon Sun Venus
-- B. Moon Sun Venus
-- C. Moon Sun Venus
68 29-May-49 21:32 7 22.000°S 69.000°W (Tau/Gem)
-- A. Neptune
-- B. Venus
-- C. Venus
69 17-Dec-49 11:07 7.8 54.000°S 71.000°W (Sag/Sco)
-- A. Mars Saturn
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Jupiter
70 Tierra del Fuego 17-Dec-49 2:53 7.8 54.000°S 71.000°W (Sag/Sco)
-- A. Mars Saturn
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Jupiter
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20th Century, second half

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:14 pm

Summary (38 events)
CAPLUNAR:
Moon 4, Sun 3, Mercury 1, Venus 1, Mars 6, Jupiter 8, Saturn 6, Uranus 4, Neptune 3, Pluto 6
(Moon-Sun 2, Moon-Mercury 3, Moon-Venus 4, Moon-Mars 2, Moon-Jupiter 2, Moon-Uranus 3, Moon-Neptune 3, Moon-Pluto 1)

CHART OF THE WEEK:
Moon 2, Sun 4, Mercury 4, Venus 3, Mars 4, Saturn 6, Uranus 1, Neptune 3, Pluto 4
(Moon-Sun 1, Moon-Mercury 1, Moon-Venus 1, Moon-Mars 1, Moon-Jupiter 2, Moon-Saturn 1, Moon-Uranus 3, Moon-Neptune 4, Moon-Pluto 1)

MOST RECENT NON-DORMANT:
Moon 5, Sun 4, Mercury 8, Venus 5, Mars 7, Jupiter 3, Saturn 9, Uranus 4, Neptune 4, Pluto 7
(Moon-Sun 1, Moon-Mercury 1, Moon-Venus 2, Moon-Mars 2, Moon-Jupiter 1, Moon-Uranus 3, Moon-Neptune 3, Moon-Pluto 1)


71 29-Jan-50 20:56 7 53.500°S 71.500°W (Cap/Tau)
-- A. Jupiter (Moon-Mercury)
-- B. Sun
-- C. Sun
72 9-Dec-50 17:38 8.3 23.500°S 67.500°W (Sco/Sag)
-- A. Mercury Jupiter
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Mars)
-- C. Mercury Saturn
73 6-May-53 13:16 7.6 36.500°S 72.600°W (Ari/Cap)
-- A. Mars Saturn
-- B. Mars Saturn
-- C. Mars Saturn
74 6-Dec-53 22:05 7.4 22.100°S 68.700°W (Sco/Sco)
-- A. Jupiter (Moon-Uranus)
-- B. Sun Venus (Moon-Uranus)
-- C. Sun Venus (Moon-Uranus)
75 8-Feb-54 7.7 29.000°S 70.500°W (Cap/Ari)
-- A. Mars (Moon-Neptune)
-- B. Sun (Moon-Neptune)
-- C. Sun (Moon-Neptune)
76 19-Apr-55 16:24 7.1 30.000°S 72.000°W (Ari/Aqu)
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Sun, Moon-Jupiter, Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Sun, Moon-Jupiter, Moon-Uranus, Moon-Neptune)
-- C. Venus (Moon-Uranus)
77 8-Jan-56 16:54 7.1 19.000°S 70.000°W (Sag/Sco)
-- A. Neptune
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Canlunar) Mars Saturn Pluto (Moon-Mercury)
78 17-Dec-56 22:31 7 25.500°S 68.500°W (Sag/Gem)
-- A. Sun Saturn
-- B. Venus
-- C. Venus
79 29-Jul-57 13:15 7 23.500°S 71.500°W
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Mercury Saturn Pluto
-- C. Mercury Saturn Pluto
80 13-Jun-59 20:12 7.5 20.420°S 69.000°W (Tau/Leo)
-- A. Uranus (Moon-Mars)
-- B. Mercury
-- C. Mercury
81 Concepción 21-May-60 6:02 7.9 37.500°S 73.500°W 125 (Tau/Pis)
-- A. Pluto
-- B. Pluto
-- C. Pluto
82 22-May-60 6:32 7.3 37.500°S 73.000°W
-- A. Pluto
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Pluto
83 Valdivia 22-May-60 15:11 9.5 39.500°S 74.500°W 1,655 (Tau/Ari)
-- A. Mars Jupiter Pluto
-- B. Sun Pluto
-- C. Sun Pluto
84 19-Jun-60 22:01 7.3 38.000°S 73.500°W (Gem/Ari)
-- A. Uranus (Moon-Mars)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Mercury)
-- C. Uranus (Moon-Mars)
85 1-Nov-60 4:45 7.4 38.500°S 75.100°W (Lib/Pis)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Uranus (Moon-Sun)
86 13-Jul-61 17:19 7 41.700°S 75.200°W (Gem/Can)
-- A. Sun
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Saturn)
-- C. Moon Jupiter Neptune
87 14-Feb-62 2:36 7.3 37.800°S 72.500°W (Aqu/Gem)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Pluto (Moon-Mars)
88 3-Aug-62 4:56 7.1 23.300°S 68.100°W (Can/Leo)
-- A. Moon Sun Saturn Neptune (Moon-Sun)
-- B. Moon Saturn
-- C. Moon Saturn
89 Taltal 23-Feb-65 18:11 7 25.670°S 70.630°W 1 (Aqu/Sco)
-- A. Moon Venus (Moon-Mercury Moon-Venus)
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Mars
90 La Ligua 28-Mar-65 12:33 7.4 32.418°S 71.100°W 400 (Pis/Cap)
-- A. Moon
-- B. Moon
-- C. Moon
91 28-Dec-66 4:18 7.8 25.510°S 70.740°W (Sag/Gem)
-- A. Mars
-- B. Mercury
-- C. Mercury
92 13-Mar-67 12:06 7.3 40.120°S 74.680°W (Aqu/Pis)
-- A. Mars (Moon-Jupiter)
-- B. Mars (Moon-Jupiter)
-- C. Mars (Moon-Jupiter)
93 21-Dec-67 22:25 7.5 21.800°S 70.000°W (Sag/Leo)
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Venus)
-- B. Neptune
-- C. Neptune
94 17-Jun-71 17:00 7 25.402°S 69.058°W (Gem/Pis)
-- A. Pluto
-- B. Pluto
-- C. Pluto
95 Illapel 8-Jul-71 23:03 7.5 32.511°S 71.207°W 90 (Gem/Cqp)
-- A. Saturn Neptune
-- B. Saturn Neptune
-- C. Saturn Neptune
96 18-Aug-74 6:44 7.1 38.453°S 73.431°W (Leo/Leo)
-- A. Jupiter Pluto (Moon-Mercury, Moon-Uranus)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Uranus)
-- C. Mars (Moon-Venus Moon-Uranus)
97 10-May-75 10:27 7.7 38.183°S 73.232°W (Ari/Ari)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Mercury Neptune
-- C. Mercury Neptune
98 29-Nov-76 21:40 7.3 20.520°S 68.919°W (Sco/Pis)
-- A. Saturn Uranus
-- B. Saturn Uranus
-- C. Saturn Uranus
99 3-Aug-79 14:11 7 26.518°S 70.664°W (Can/Sco)
-- A. Mars
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Saturn
100 16-Oct-81 0:25 7.5 33.134°S 73.074°W (Vir/Tau)
-- A. Moon (Moon-Pluto)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Pluto)
-- C. Moon (Moon-Pluto)
101 4-Oct-83 14:52 7.3 26.535°S 70.563°W (Vir/Leo)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Jupiter Uranus
102 Algarrobo 3-Mar-85 19:46 8.0 33.240°S 71.850°W 177 (Aqu/Can)
-- A. Jupiter Pluto
-- B. Dormant
-- C. (Arilunar) Mercury
103 Rapel Lake 8-Apr-85 21:56 7.5 34.131°S 71.618°W 1 (Pis/Sco)
-- A. Saturn (Moon-Venus)
-- B. Saturn
-- C. Saturn
104 Iquique 5-Mar-87 6:17 7.3 24.388°S 70.161°W (Aqu/Ari)
-- A. Jupiter Uranus (Moon-Venus)
-- B. Venus Mars
-- C. Venus Mars
105 8-Aug-87 11:48 7.1 19.000°S 70.000°W (Can/Cap)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Moon Mercury
106 Antofagasta 30-Jul-95 1:11 8 23.360°S 70.310°W 3 (Can/Leo)
-- A. Jupiter
-- B. Mars (Moon-Venus, Moon-Neptune)
-- C. Mars (Moon-Venus, Moon-Neptune)
107 Punitaqui 15-Oct-97 1:03 7.1 30.773°S 71.315°W 8 (Vir/Pis)
-- A. Dormant (Moon-Neptune)
-- B. Dormant (Moon-Neptune)
-- C. Venus Jupiter (Moon-Neptune)
108 Near coast of northern Chile 30-Jan-98 12:16 (UTC) 7.1 23.910°S 70.200°W 1 (Cap/Aqu)
-- A. Dormant
-- B. Dormant
-- C. Mercury (Moon-Sun)
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Consolidating results

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:14 pm

The 20th century entries are almost exactly double the number for all other time periods. This allows the data to be broken into three groups, in case internal checking is desirable; though the final result we want is the total of all three groups (all 113 events).

Average expectancy for angularity within these orbs is one-ninth (40 out of 360), so for these 113 events the expectancy is 12.6 (if we give no separate credit for dormant charts). We would like to see numbers at least 6.5 different from this, i.e., 19 or higher, or 6 or lower, to pass the 5% level of significance. Moon aspects within these orbs have an expected occurrence of one-fifteenth (24 out of 360), so for these 13 events an average expectancy for each possible Moon aspect is 7.5. We would like to see numbers at least 5.2 different from this, i.e., 13 or higher, or 2 or lower, to pass the 5% level of significance.

CAPLUNAR:
Moon 16, Sun 20, Mercury 9, Venus 6, Mars 17, Jupiter 16, Saturn 14, Uranus 13, Neptune 23, Pluto 15
Moon-Sun 5, Moon-Mercury 6, Moon-Venus 5, Moon-Mars 6, Moon-Jupiter 5, Moon-Saturn 5, Moon-Uranus 7, Moon-Neptune 7, Moon-Pluto 5

CHART OF THE WEEK:
Moon 10, Sun 15, Mercury 10, Venus 11, Mars 8, Jupiter 9, Saturn 17, Uranus 7, Neptune 7, Pluto 12
Moon-Sun 5, Moon-Mercury 6, Moon-Venus 1, Moon-Mars 4, Moon-Jupiter 5, Moon-Saturn 8, Moon-Uranus 8, Moon-Neptune 8, Moon-Pluto 4

MOST RECENT NON-DORMANT:
Moon 14, Sun 19, Mercury 17, Venus 16, Mars 15, Jupiter 16, Saturn 24, Uranus 10, Neptune 12, Pluto 18
Moon-Sun 4, Moon-Mercury 7, Moon-Venus 3, Moon-Mars 6, Moon-Jupiter 3, Moon-Saturn 7, Moon-Uranus 9, Moon-Neptune 7, Moon-Pluto 4
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Re: RESEARCH Historic Chilean earthquakes

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:15 pm

I want to recalculate how everything performed after excluding dormant charts for the first two categories. This is an entirely reasonable approach considering how dormancy has expressed itself in the working of Sidereal solar and lunar ingresses. For this approach, sample size of the three categories are:

A. Caplunars: 113 events - 24 dormant charts = 89
B. Chart of the week: 113 events - 39 dormant charts = 74
C. Most recent non-dormant lunar ingress: 113 events

ANGULARITY: Average expectancy for is 1/9.
MOON ASPECTS: Average expectancy for is 1/15.


CAPLUNAR:
ANGULARITY: For 89 events, the expectancy is 9.9. The 95% confidence level is achieved when more than 5.8 different from this, i.e., 16 or higher, or 4 or lower. MOON ASPECTS: For 89 events, the expectancy is 5.9. The 95% confidence level is achieved when more than 4.6 different from this, i.e., 11 or higher, or 1 or lower.
Moon 16, Sun 20, Mercury 9, Venus 6, Mars 17, Jupiter 16, Saturn 14, Uranus 13, Neptune 23, Pluto 15
Moon-Sun 5, Moon-Mercury 6, Moon-Venus 5, Moon-Mars 6, Moon-Jupiter 5, Moon-Saturn 5, Moon-Uranus 7, Moon-Neptune 7, Moon-Pluto 5

CHART OF THE WEEK:
ANGULARITY: For 74 events, the expectancy is 8.2. The 95% confidence level is achieved when more than 5.3 different from this, i.e., 14 or higher, or 3 or lower. MOON ASPECTS: For 74 events, the expectancy is 4.9. The 95% confidence level is achieved when more than 4.2 different from this, i.e., 9 or higher, or 0.
Moon 10, Sun 14, Mercury 10, Venus 11, Mars 8, Jupiter 9, Saturn 17, Uranus 7, Neptune 7, Pluto 12
Moon-Sun 5, Moon-Mercury 6, Moon-Venus 1, Moon-Mars 4, Moon-Jupiter 5, Moon-Saturn 8, Moon-Uranus 8, Moon-Neptune 8, Moon-Pluto 4

MOST RECENT NON-DORMANT:
ANGULARITY: For 113 events, the expectancy is 12.6. The 95% confidence level is achieved when more than 6.5 different from this, i.e., 19 or higher, or 6 or lower. MOON ASPECTS: For 113 events, the expectancy is 7.5. The 95% confidence level is achieved when more than 5.2 different from this, i.e., 13 or higher, or 2 or lower.
Moon 14, Sun 18, Mercury 17, Venus 16, Mars 15, Jupiter 16, Saturn 24, Uranus 10, Neptune 12, Pluto 18
Moon-Sun 4, Moon-Mercury 7, Moon-Venus 3, Moon-Mars 6, Moon-Jupiter 3, Moon-Saturn 7, Moon-Uranus 9, Moon-Neptune 7, Moon-Pluto 4
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Re: RESEARCH Historic Chilean earthquakes

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:15 pm

This study is now complete.
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Re: RESEARCH Historic Chilean earthquakes

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:16 pm

We may draw some conclusions from these numbers.

CAPLUNARS
For the "Master Chart of the Month," Neptune is not only decisively the most angular planet, it is significantly so. If all 113 charts are counted, Neptune comfortably exceeds the 95% confidence level. If only non-dormant Caplunars are counted, Neptune's mathematical significance skyrockets: 4.4 standard deviations from mean expectancy.

However, excluding the dormant Caplunars produces a further result that is anomalous within astrology. In addition to the Sun (which is just barely above the 2 sigma level), excesses of Mars and Jupiter become significant. The Jupiter score is questionable. Astrology fares better if we consider all 113 charts (of which 24 have nothing closely angular at all) than if we exclude the dormant charts.

Venus is the least angular planet. If we include all 113 charts, it is significantly so (being outside the 95% range). If we exclude dormant charts, the expected frequency is lowered enough that the Venus infrequency would no longer be sufficiently anomalous to warrant attention.

No Moon aspects are sufficiently anomalous to warrant attention.

I conclude that, at a statistically significant level, Neptune is frequent and Venus infrequent in Caplunars preceding Chilean earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher, and that the best way to process these data is to include dormant Caplunars in the mix.


CHART OF THE WEEK
In Sidereal mundane astrology, the most descriptive solar or lunar ingress charts are the lunar ingresses immediately preceding an event. These are casually called "the chart of the week."

Saturn is clearly the most frequently angular planet in these charts for these events. If dormant charts are excluded, Saturn's frequency is statistically significant (and, again, the Sun is just barely significant as well), In this case, the better results are obtained by excluding dormant charts from the calculations, thus lowering our expectation of Saturn's angularity. However, Saturn is clearly the most angular planet in either approach.

Moon-Venus aspects are nearly absent - only 1 occurrence - and, if all 113 charts are considered, this infrequency is significant. There is also a tendency of Moon aspects to Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune to be most common, though the frequency of these aspects does not reach a statistically significant threshold.

I conclude that Saturn, at a statistically significant level, is frequent the weekly Sidereal lunar ingresses immediately preceding Chilean earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher, and Moon-Venus aspects are significantly infrequent. U observe a lesser tendency, consistent with astrology's tenets and what has been observed otherwise in Sidereal mundane astrology, for Moon aspects to Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune in these charts.

MOST RECENT NON-DORMANT:
When the most recent weekly lunar ingress is dormant, a phenomenon named flow-through has been observed that permits the most recent non-dormant lunar ingress to persist. Therefore, we studied the most recent non-dormant weekly Sidereal lunar cardinal ingress for these 113 quakes. By definition, none of these were dormant, so we have the entire 113 events in play.

Saturn is easily the most frequent angular planet, and its frequency is statistically significant. This is the same result as with the chart of the week above, but the excess is much larger, suggesting that the most recent non-dormant lunar ingress shows purer (less compromised) results than simply taking the most recent lunar ingress.

The two least frequent Moon aspects are to Venus and Jupiter, astrology's classic benefics. This matches the significantly low occurrence of Moon-Venus aspects in Caplunars. However, the infrequency does not reach a statistically significant level (here taken as the 95% level). The most common lunar aspect is to Uranus, again something seen in the Caplunars and, again, not reaching the statistically significant level.

SUMMARY OF OBSERVATIONS & CONCLUSIONS
For these events:

In the Caplunar, Neptune is the most frequent, and Venus the least frequent, angular planet.

In the "chart of the week" (immediately prior Sidereal lunar cardinal ingress), Saturn is the most frequent angular planet and Moon-Venus aspects are significantly infrequent.

There is a lesser tendency for Moon aspects to Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune in these charts.

The Sun seems to have a persistent role in these events, being excessively present just within thresholds of statistical significance.

Flow-through again appears to be an actuality: Results are of the same type, but much greater significance, when the most recent non-dormant lunar ingress is examined, rather than just the most recent lunar ingress.

There is a tendency for Moon aspects to Venus and Jupiter to be infrequent, and Moon aspects to Uranus to be somewhat frequent, in the lunar ingresses. For the Caplunar, this reaches a level of statistical significance.
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Re: RESEARCH Historic Chilean earthquakes

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:16 pm

SteveS wrote:Jim, you may have discussed/answered this on another topic/thread, but what is the symbolic rational for Neptune appearing so much with SMA for earthquakes?

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Re: RESEARCH Historic Chilean earthquakes

Post by Jim Eshelman » Wed May 10, 2017 9:16 pm

SteveS wrote:Jim, you may have discussed/answered this on another topic/thread, but what is the symbolic rational for Neptune appearing so much with SMA for earthquakes?
I discussed it in the book Sidereal Mundane Astrology.

First, Neptune is god of earthquakes! That's as pure a mythological attribution as if we said Mars is god of war.

Second, earthquakes coincide with the single most characteristic Neptune trait in mundane astrology: people are emotionally shaken up, disturbed, excited, anxious, etc. Even with small, harmless quakes, Neptune coincides with the "everybody got really excited and anxious for a few minutes" experience.

With really large quakes, the Neptune traits expand. For example, there is disorientation, confusion, breakdowns in communication, and more. There is certainly the "what comes next?" state of mind.

Finally, after really large quakes, the ground is sufficiently unstable that, for weeks or months after, people actually get seasick on land!

Read the Neptune section in Appendix A in SMA for more, as well as the Earthquakes chapter.
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