2020 Prez Election

Developing & testing the application of Sidereal Mundane Astrology to Picking Winners in sports competitions.
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Jim Eshelman
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Re: 2020 Prez Election

Post by Jim Eshelman » Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm

In 2020, 33 Senate seats are up for election. Presuming nothing big changes between now and then (such as people dying or otherwise leaving the Senate and being replaced by the opposite party), Democrats go into the contest with 45 members and two Independents caucusing, giving 47. Republicans have 53. To reach 67, the Democrats have to hold every current seat and win at least 20 more.

[TO BE CONTINUED]
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Jim Eshelman
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Re: 2020 Prez Election

Post by Jim Eshelman » Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm

In 2020, 33 Senate seats are up for election. Presuming nothing big changes between now and then (such as people dying or otherwise leaving the Senate and being replaced by the opposite party), Democrats go into the contest with 45 members and two Independents caucusing, giving 47. Republicans have 53. To reach 67, the Democrats have to hold every current seat and win at least 20 more.

Of the 33 seats up for election, Republicans own 22 and Democrats own 11. That means the Democrats (to reach 67) have to win EVERY CONTEST except two. That's a gigantic undertaking. Two Republican Senators are retiring, but as they are from Nebraska and Tennessee that doesn't help much.

So, to make my point: For your scenario to exist, Democratic candidates have to replace Republicans in all but two of Alaska, Arizona, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Iowa, Mississippi, Tennessee, Kentucky, Wyoming, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, West Virginia, and Maine. (Some are surely winnable; some are highly unlikely). Furthermore, Democrats have to hold onto all of their seats that are up including Alabama where the last Democrat win was considered a miracle. (The rest shouldn't be that hard to hold.) Furthermore, this extraordinary, almost inconceivable flood of Democrat votes has to occur concurrent with Trump winning those same states plus a few blue ones like Michigan and Minnesota.

It really isn't likely that South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Georgia, and Kentucky (to name just a few) would vote out their Republican Senators while still voting in Trump.
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Re: 2020 Prez Election

Post by SteveS » Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:36 pm

Thanks Jim for your understanding in this matter.

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Re: 2020 Prez Election

Post by Jim Eshelman » Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:39 pm

SteveS wrote:
Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:36 pm
Thanks Jim for your understanding in this matter.
It's just math :D
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Re: 2020 Prez Election

Post by SteveS » Mon Feb 18, 2019 5:29 am

Jim wrote:
It's just math :D
And you know it so well. :)

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Re: 2020 Prez Election

Post by SteveS » Sat Mar 02, 2019 12:09 pm

Jim teaches that Partile Aspects "reign supreme." I have known for some time with high % Trump will not win the 2020 Prez race with a simple partile transit of Saturn to key factor(s) in Trump’s Natal Chart on election night, Nov 3, 2020 featuring:

1: Trump’s Natal Venus 00,47 Can 1,45 cnj Natal Saturn 29,50 Gem
2: t. Saturn 01,22 Cap partile 180 Trump’s Natal Venus 01,45 Can.
3: Trump’s Natal Venus/Saturn Midpoint = 00,47 Cancer partile 180 t. Saturn 01,22 Cap
4: Trump’s Natal Sun/Mars Midpoint = 00,52 Cancer partile 180 t. Saturn 01,22 Cap

***NOTE Ebertin’s Sun/Mars=Saturn words for this planetary midpoint:
Pessimism. Difficulties or obstacles in vocation or profession, defeat in a fight or contest, separation.
This leaves me with one main question relative to my world. Who will Trump be running against on election night and what will be Vegas betting odds? :)

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Re: 2020 Prez Election

Post by SteveS » Tue Mar 12, 2019 1:34 pm

Top 4 Dem's favored to win 2020 Dem Primary:

K. Harris +230
Biden +350
ORourke +400
Sanders + 500

The rest of the field are distance from these top 4.

Trump is + 130 to win Prez. Closest Dem to win Prez is + 800

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