SteveS wrote: ↑
Wed Jan 19, 2022 7:14 am
OK, I noted this two weeks ago, but wanted to ask you to make sure the Libsolar is the flow-through chart for Green Bay. And this is what I found/knew was most interesting to me: If Green Bay wins this weekend game vs SF, they will be playing in the NFC Champioship game Jan 30, which means to me the LibQ will be most important for Green Bay on Jan 30. Do you agree Jim?
No, that's not what the SMA statistics show.
I once thought maybe the lesser charts like the LibQ and AriQ had more power in their own quarter or in situations where they had flowed through. For some reason I got terribly excited about the idea - but it didn't pan out. If you look in the current version of SMA,
in Chapter 33, beginning on page 971, you'll see one of the most interesting collections of statistics in a section called "Relative Strength of Ingress Quarters." There is SO much in these few pages - things Bradley figured out from stacks of paper and manual counting of a few dozen charts plus things he never was able to see because he simply didn't have enough data at one time. (I couldn't reliably do some of these counts until I hit the current high volume of examples.)
To walk you through it a bit...
In the first section called "The Four Solar Ingresses," read or skip the first few paragraphs (they show that only the Capsolar is, in general, a stand-alone ingress for the year but, when it's dormant, the Cansolar leaps into importance) - go down to where I show each solar ingress' accuracy scores broken out by quarter. This table confirms what casual observation disclosed: The Capsolar, as "chart of the year," stands out as significant in every quarter of the year, while all three of the others ONLY stand out in their own quarter: Barring dormancy, the other three ingresses are all three-month charts, not year charts.
Skip the section on lunar ingresses (they tell the same story) and go to the section on page 974 called "The Four Solar Ingress Quotidians." The first table shows that, overall, the CapQ is the only one that scores reliably by itself. At the bottom of page 975, the last paragraph is the key paragraph (I took out the actual table, since it wasted space, but summarized the results):
When quotidians are broken down by quarters of the year in which an event occurs, the CapQ performs above the viability threshold in all quarters and none of the other quotidians approaches that threshold in any quarter. There is no need to reproduce the 16 calculations. The Capsolar easily stands well above the other three, with little to distinguish the other three from each other.
In other words, regardless of the quarter and regardless of whether the Capsolar is dormant, the quotidians operate on their own: The CapQ is the one that consistently stands out. The CanQ stands out in those cases where the CapQ is dormant. (The CanQ also stands out in cases where transits to the Cansolar Moons or angles are the "bridge" aspects that set up the event in the first place without help from the Capsolar
- If the Cansolar starts the process, it tends to finish it.)
If the CapQ has nothing to say, the LibQ and AriQ may also have similar new strength just like the CanQ (I'd need double the number of samples to know for sure); or, in any case, when both the CapQ and CanQ are dormant or non-committal, it opens the door to the LibQ and AriQ to find their own voice. When this happens, though, you can't go by what quarter you're in: In your example above, the AriQ is as likely to tell the story as the LibQ, even though the Arisolar doesn't otherwise have a role in the event.