Sknyliv Air Show Disaster

[Jim Eshelman]

27 July 2002, 12:52 PM, Sknyliv Airfield near L'vov, Ukraine (49N49, 23E57)

History's deadliest air show disaster occurred when a Ukranian Air Force jet crashed and exploded before 10,000 people at Sknyliv Airfield during an aerobatics show, killing 77 people and injuring 543 others (plus the two crewmen who ejected to safety). Twenty-eight of the dead were children attending the show.

Year: Capsolar {+3}
Mars on IC (0°40')
Saturn on Dsc (2°55')
Pluto on Asc (2°42')
-- Saturn-Pluto op. (0°14')
Moon-Mercury conj. (1°00')

Bridge {-2}
t Jupiter sq. Cansolar/CanQ Moon 7/24-8/5
t Uranus op. Cansolar MC 7/17-9/4
Event window: July 24 to August 5

Quarter: Cansolar {+2}
Uranus on IC (0°11')
-- Saturn-Pluto op. (1°06' PVP)
-- Saturn-Uranus sq. (1°35' PVP)
-- Uranus-Pluto sq. (2°41' PVP)
Moon-Jupiter sq. (2°32')

Month: Caplunar (Dormant.) Moon-Jupiter op. (3°16')

Week: Liblunar {+2}
Neptune sq. MC (1°04')
Uranus on Dsc (4°05')
Moon-Mars sq. (0°49' in mundo)
Moon-Sun sq. (0°18')
Moon-Jupiter (1°46')

Day: Capsolar Quotidian & Transits {-2}
p EP conj. s Jupiter (0°30')
-------------------------------------
t Mercury op. s Moon (0°57')

Day: Cansolar Quotidian & Transits {-2/-1 = -1}
p MC conj. p Venus (1°02'), op. t Moon (0°33')
t Jupiter sq. p Moon (0°42')
--------------------------------------
t Uranus op. s MC (0°28')
t Mercury sq. s Asc (0°57')
t Jupiter sq. s Moon (0°19')

[Jim Eshelman]

Those daily indicators stink! (OK, the Uranus isn't bad. But the Jupiter is far off-track, and nothing extra aspects it etc. to give a different spin.)

Out of curiosity, I'm checking the Arisolar and Libsolar contributions to the daily picture, despite how weak they are.

Day: Arisolar Quotidian {-2}
p MC sq. s Sun (1°26'), p Sun (1°09')

Day: Libsolar Quotidian & Transits {-2}
p Asc op. p Mars (0°41'), s Mars (1°12'), sq. s Sun (0°04')
------------------------------------------------------------------
t Saturn sq. s Asc (1°22')
t Venus conj. s EP (0°48')

Well, the Libsolar is more like it! With Saturn on an angle, I don't even mind Venus on an angle (this occurred at an entertainment event, after all). And the Sun-Mars pair on quotidian angles is quite appropriate.

Ididnt even have to go to hypothetical planets and converse directions to get it <lol>. But, seriously, it's a strain to have such perfectly good techniques as the CapQ and CanQ fail, and have to go to the "rarely accurate enough to check" B-team for a good malefic or two.

[Jupiter Sets at Dawn]

With a what is it.. 98% success rate, there are bound to be some that just don't work. The thing is, you admit to them. Out loud and in public. How many people make predictions, jump up and down hollering when they come through, but we never hear about the misses again?

[Jim Eshelman]

Thanks for noticing It would feel really grimy (and have me wandering around afraid of being caught as a fraud) to try to do otherwise.

Besides, there have been a lot of times that I end up (maybe years later) learning something really important from failure charts.

Since I added the 2nd worst air show disaster to the new edition of SMA earlier today, I'm of course going to add the worst one (above). There's no non-grimy way around it.