Garth Allen's "Statistics to the Rescue!"
Posted: Mon May 15, 2017 10:11 am
Oct 16, 2008 5:38 pm
Wayne Turner wrote:Hi all,
While I was working at the Heart Center Library in 2006 I had the opportunity to make copies of many old articles. Among Donald Bradley's more important articles I would rank "Statistics to the Rescue!" near the top. It was published in the March 1957 American Astrology and details his analysis of sidereal lunar returns that cover births, weddings, and accidents. For 75 births, he found the Moon, Jupiter and Uranus (probably; he doesn't say exactly) at a statistical high point just past the angular cusps, much as Leon Lasson and the Gauquelins did during the same period. The "malefics", Mars and Neptune, avoided the angles, though with less statistical enthusiasm, but clustered near the prime vertical cadent cusps. These results included both natal and return positions.
In 120 wedding returns, angular natal and return Jupiter shows up as a welcome guest at odds of about 5000 to one against chance. (The results are shown in graphs so this is just a good guess.)
For 60 accidents, return Mars and Saturn are on the angles against odds of better than (or worse than) 10,000 to one. Contrarily, Jupiter and Venus avoided the angles at just about the 100 to 1 level. Leaving out the--to him--anomalous birth result past the angular cusps, for the other four tests his combined result soars past the one million to one mark. (For a sad but spectacular confirmation of the accident results, see this post re JFK Jr's plane crash: viewtopic.php?f=28&t=1097 It is worth noting here that he was born about a month early by C-section. This does not seem to have affected the validity of his SLRs.)
In my own case, the SLR before an accident on June 15, 1965 that sent me to the hospital for emergency surgery occurred on June 6 at 1:00:30 pm PDT, Reseda, California, and features more trouble than any kid should face, including a Moon/Mars conjunction rising and Saturn setting! Ouch!
Incidentally, if topocentric positions taking parallax into account are used--something that Bradley wrote about early on--the return occurs nearly an hour earlier, at 12:10:33 pm PDT, and moves the culprits away from the angles and widens the Moon/Mars conjunction. This suggests that contrary to expectations, it is not the Moon's real apparent place in the sky that matters here, but the mathematical position as seen from the Earth's center. Therefore, we should not think of any astrological influences emanating from the Moon, but rather must somehow put ourselves into an archetypal mathematical universe that is none-the-less "real." That's enough mind bending for now, thanks...)
At some point, these results should be replicated with larger samples. We should cross our fingers though, because statistics and natal astrology do not have a very amicable history together, apart from the Gauquelin's results.
Regards,
Wayne