Thanks very much, Steve. But let's have some actual success first, yeah?
Looking forward to the tests on New Year's Eve.
And I'm happy that this is so engaging of your mind and fuelling your enthusiasm. It
would be pretty awesome to have cracked some code. The basic methods work (this we know); the challenge is how to apply them. And I'm well aware that if this historic analysis works for prediction, then the success of that prediction will alter how odds are framed in the future and more or less "break" the exact formula after a while.
But, if this is solid, then we have a window of perhaps a few years to apply it.
SteveS wrote:I am slowly absorbing the finer points of your SMA Super Bowl work and I realize your mind is the only mind that is able to see/understand the statistics in a way to place a percentage for a winning team.
I'm actually doing this rather simply. The one penetrating formula (the Saturn mark for losers) has been accurate about 85% of the time when it appears. Therefore, if it appears for one team and not the other, there is an 85% chance that team will lose. If these same indicators double up for one team without appearing for the other, then the odds of the Saturn team losing become
more than 85% (say, in 5% increments, on a judgment call). If some indications or uncertainty exist on the other side, then we don't have a perfect delivery of the formula, so the odds of the Saturn team losing become
less than 85%.
For example, I am more confident about the second game on NYE than I am about the first. The second game has multiple losing indicators, and the other team has none. But in the first game, I'm unclear whether the projected winner's CapQ Uranus-Pluto indicators "count" in terms of
giving sufficient answer. If they don't, then we fall through to the CanQ level and the game becomes less predictable because both teams have loser indications. But, if we accept that Uranus-Pluto markers
are the answer the CapQ is giving us - that it will overthrow the odds - then we have a solid match-up: One team (the favored) has all the active loser elements, and the other team has "reverse the odds" markers, and these two both project the same outcome. Because of my uncertainty on whether that CapQ "counts," I dropped the odds I'm right from 85% to 75%.
I want you to know you will share in my future success using SMA in the sports betting world with important sporting events. Thank you so much for the time you have spent on this project.
That is generous of you, and appreciated. It gives me the space to focus on the pure science of it. My chart is definitely not a gambler's chart - or, rather, I should say, not the chart of someone who
should gamble, but I have no problem providing "pure science" figures for use by those who are wired to win from speculation.